Weather Impact Analysis
How weather conditions affect race predictions and outcomes
Dry Conditions
Standard race conditions with full grip
25-35°C
Air Temp
40-55°C
Track Temp
Performance Impacts
Qualifying Lap Time
Baseline
0.0s
Tire Degradation
Normal
100%
Overtaking Difficulty
Standard
100%
Strategy Variance
Low
±5%
Prediction Changes
How win probabilities shift compared to dry conditions:
VER
35%
+0%
NOR
22%
+0%
LEC
18%
+0%
Rain Masters - Historical Wet Race Performance
🥇Lewis Hamilton
66.7%
Win rate (28/42 races)
Consistent in all conditions
🥈Max Verstappen
66.7%
Win rate (12/18 races)
Aggressive in changing conditions
🥉Fernando Alonso
31.4%
Win rate (11/35 races)
Strategic tire management
🏎️George Russell
25.0%
Win rate (2/8 races)
Qualifying pace in rain
Weather Feature Integration
Our ML models include weather as a categorical feature with significant impact on predictions. The model adjusts probabilities based on historical wet race performances, tire strategy patterns, and driver-specific rain craft skills extracted from qualifying and race data.