Historical Accuracy
Complete prediction track record for 2023-2024 seasons (46 races)
46
Races Analyzed
63.0%
Overall Win Accuracy
91.3%
Podium Accuracy
0.019
Avg Brier Score
0.987
Best AUC (LR)
Prediction Accuracy Timeline - 2024
50.0% (12/24)
Bahrain GP: ✓
Saudi Arabia GP: ✓
Australian GP: ✗
Japanese GP: ✓
Chinese GP: ✓
Miami GP: ✗
Emilia Romagna GP: ✓
Monaco GP: ✓
Canadian GP: ✓
Spanish GP: ✓
Austrian GP: ✗
British GP: ✗
Hungarian GP: ✗
Belgian GP: ✗
Dutch GP: ✗
Italian GP: ✗
Azerbaijan GP: ✗
Singapore GP: ✓
US GP: ✗
Mexico GP: ✗
Brazil GP: ✓
Las Vegas GP: ✗
Qatar GP: ✓
Abu Dhabi GP: ✓
R1 - Bahrain GPR24 - Abu Dhabi GP
Correct
Incorrect
R1
Bahrain GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
72%
R2
Saudi Arabia GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
68%
R3
Australian GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: SAI
Confidence
55%
R4
Japanese GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
71%
R5
Chinese GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
65%
R6
Miami GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: NOR
Confidence
52%
R7
Emilia Romagna GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
70%
R8
Monaco GP
Predicted: LEC→Actual: LEC
Confidence
48%
R9
Canadian GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
62%
R10
Spanish GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
66%
R11
Austrian GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: RUS
Confidence
58%
R12
British GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: HAM
Confidence
45%
R13
Hungarian GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: PIA
Confidence
50%
R14
Belgian GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: RUS
Confidence
55%
R15
Dutch GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: NOR
Confidence
60%
R16
Italian GP
Predicted: NOR→Actual: LEC
Confidence
42%
R17
Azerbaijan GP
Predicted: LEC→Actual: PIA
Confidence
38%
R18
Singapore GP
Predicted: NOR→Actual: NOR
Confidence
55%
R19
US GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: LEC
Confidence
48%
R20
Mexico GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: SAI
Confidence
52%
R21
Brazil GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
58%
R22
Las Vegas GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: RUS
Confidence
45%
R23
Qatar GP
Predicted: VER→Actual: VER
Confidence
62%
R24
Abu Dhabi GP
Predicted: NOR→Actual: NOR
Confidence
55%
Model Insights
2023 Season
Strong performance with 17/22 correct predictions (77.3%). Verstappen's dominance (19 wins) made predictions more straightforward.
2024 Season
More challenging with 12/24 correct (50.0%). McLaren's resurgence and varied winners tested model adaptability.