SHAP Explainer
Understand why our models make predictions using SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations)
7 drivers • 2025 completed season + 2026 projections
How to Read SHAP Values
Each feature contribution shows how much it pushes the prediction up (green) or down (red) from the base probability. The waterfall chart starts from the base ~5% and shows cumulative effects to reach the final prediction.
Base Probability
5.0%
SHAP
Final Prediction
42.0%
Feature Contributions (Waterfall)
Base Probability
5.0%
Qualifying Position (P1)
+22.0%
Driver Rolling Form
+12.0%
Constructor Strength
+10.0%
McLaren 2025 Upgrade
+8.0%
Verstappen Competition
-7.0%
Track History (Bahrain)
+2.0%
Final Prediction
42.0%
Key Insight
The most influential feature for this prediction is Qualifying Position (P1), contributing +22.0% to the win probability.